Market activity index

Monthly signal volume per market, indexed to each market's own average (100 = normal). Turn on M&A Tempo above to compare deal activity today with investing capacity tomorrow.

Composition

Four-lane tempo

The balance between capital formation, deal flow, realised exits and investor hiring. Counts are public-news signals, not transaction volumes.

Feed

Recent signals

How M&A Pulse works

Collect, each day it pulls deal-related news headlines from Google News across five language markets.
Qualify, a headline must contain a precise action from one of four lanes: new fund, M&A deal, exit/closing or PE/VC hiring.
De-duplicate, URLs and normalised headline signatures are checked before a signal is stored.
Index, each lane is compared with its rolling observation-window average (100 = normal), then blended into the M&A Tempo. Geopolitical risk is optional context only.

M&A Tempo is a composite index (base 100) blending four signal families ; Capital Formation (new funds and fund closings · 30%), Deal Flow (announced and signed M&A · 30%), Exit & Closing (completed transactions and portfolio exits · 25%) and Investor Hiring (PE/VC team expansion · 15%). Each family is indexed to its own average, so the Pulse reads like the Market Activity Index: 100 = normal, above 100 = building. Where the Activity Index shows deal-making today, the Pulse shows the capacity and appetite to invest tomorrow, the comparison between the two is the point.

What it is, and isn't: it counts news signals, not confirmed transactions. Where a headline states a stage (announced, signed, completed) that stage is shown; otherwise it's left blank. A headline with risk or distress language is flagged ⚠. Coverage is limited to public news, so private deals aren't fully captured.